December 29, 2010armycrown jewelsForeign Affairsnuclear deterrencenuclear weaponsPakistanSaudi ArabiaSecuritythink-tanksUnited States

Pakistan’s second’ nuclear arsenal

My talk at the Centre for Land Warfare Studies (CLAWS), New Delhi

This is an archived blog post from The Acorn.

Earlier this month, I presented my analysis of Pakistan’s growing nuclear arsenal at CLAWS. This is a summary of the talk and the discussion report is up at their website. Excerpt:

Pakistan is worried for its nuclear safety and the US view on its nuclear programme. The second nuclear arsenal would be outside the ambit of its regular arsenal and could be brought into play if any attempt is made to take out its regular arsenal by any agency distrustful of Pakistan’s nuclear warheads.

Possible existence of a second nuclear arsenal increases the risk for the US and also imposes an asymmetric threat to India. Such an arsenal will fuel an arms race in the Middle East especially in view of the Saudi-Pak nuclear convergence and cooperation with respect to growth of Iran’s nuclear capability. India for its part must disabuse all concerned that it is in a nuclear arms race and promote stability in the region. Perhaps if India can act as an interlocutor between Iran and the USA and bring about a rapprochement between the two countries, it could promote strategic stability in the region and prevent a nuclear arms race in the Middle East. [Shah Alam/CLAWS]

Related posts: Why is Pakistan cranking up its nuclear capacity? The arms race in the Middle East; Not our problem; and, MUD not MAD

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